Domestic money and US output and inflation

Recent empirical research found that the strong short-term relationship between monetary aggregates and US real output and inflation, as outlined in the classical study by M. Friedman and Schwartz, mostly disappeared sin
Recent empirical research found that the strong short-term relationship between monetary aggregates and US real output and inflation, as outlined in the classical study by M. Friedman and Schwartz, mostly disappeared since the early 1980s. In the light of the B. Friedman and Kuttner (1992) information value approach, we reevaluate the vanishing relationship between US monetary aggregates and these macroeconomic fundamentals by taking into account the international currency feature of the US dollar. In practice, by using official US data for foreign flows constructed by Porter and Judson (1996) we find that domestic money (currency component of M1 corrected for the foreign holdings of dollars) contains valuable information about future movements of US real output and inflation. Statistical evidence here provided thus suggests that the Friedman and Schwartz's stylized facts can be reestablished once the focus of analysis is back on the domestic monetary aggregates. This Version: August, 2001. Klassifikation: E3, E4, E5
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Metadaten
Author:Yunus Aksoy, Tomasz Piskorski
URN:urn:nbn:de:hebis:30-9858
Series (Serial Number):CFS working paper series (2001, 08)
Document Type:Working Paper
Language:English
Date of Publication (online):2005/06/13
Year of first Publication:2001
Publishing Institution:Univ.-Bibliothek Frankfurt am Main
Release Date:2005/06/13
Tag:Foreign holdings ; Friedman-Schwartz's evidence; Information value ; US monetary aggregates
Source:CFS working paper ; 2001,08
HeBIS PPN:201690012
Institutes:Center for Financial Studies (CFS)
Dewey Decimal Classification:330 Wirtschaft
Sammlungen:Universitätspublikationen
Licence (German):License Logo Veröffentlichungsvertrag für Publikationen

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